Publications    

 

¨ Pill, Patch or Shot? Subjective Expectations and Birth Control Choice

     International Economic Review, 2008, Vol. 49, 3.

 

¨ Measuring Revisions to Subjective Expectations

     Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2008, Vol. 36, 1.

 

¨ Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Internet Surveys (With Susann Rohwedder). Public Opinion Quarterly, 2008, Vol. 72, 5.

 

¨ Subjective Expectations in the Context of HIV/AIDS in Malawi (With Hans-Peter Kohler). Demographic Research, 2009, Vol 20, 31 .

 

¨ Criminal Prosecution and HIV-related Risky Behavior (With Neeraj Sood and Dana Goldman). Forthcoming at Journal of Law and Economics.

 

¨ Measuring Subjective Expectations in Developing Countries: A Critical Review and New Evidence (With David McKenzie and Xavier Gine). Forthcoming at Journal of Development Economics.

 

¨ Probabilistic Polling and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Election: Evidence from the American Life Panel (With Charles F. Manski).

      Forthcoming at Public Opinion Quarterly.

 

¨ Eliciting Probabilistic Expectations with Visual Aids in Developing Countries: How sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design (With David McKenzie and Xavier Gine).

      Accepted at Journal of Applied Econometrics.

 

Working papers       

 

¨  Individuals’ Uncertainty about their Future Social Security Benefits (With Susann Rohwedder) 

 

¨ The Impact of HIV Testing on Subjective Expectations and Risky Behavior in Malawi (With Hans-Peter Kohler).

 

¨ Marrying Up: the Role of Sex Ratio in Assortative Matching(With Ran Abramitzky and Luis Vasconcelos)

 

¨ Differential Survival in Europe and the US: Estimates Based on Subjective Probabilities of Survivals (With Susann Rohwedder) 

 

¨ Changes in Spending and in Labor Supply in Response to a Social Security Benefit Cut: An Analysis based on Stated Choice Data  (With Susann Rohwedder) 

 

¨ Probabilistic Thinking and Early Social Security Claiming (With Michael Perry and Robert J. Willis). MRRC Working Paper WP 2006-219.

 

¨ Managing the Risk of Life (With Robert J. Willis) MRRC Working Paper  WP