¨ Pill, Patch or Shot? Subjective Expectations and Birth Control Choice

     International Economic Review, 2008, Vol. 49, 3.


¨ Measuring Revisions to Subjective Expectations

     Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 2008, Vol. 36, 1.


¨ Eliciting Subjective Probabilities in Internet Surveys (With Susann Rohwedder). Public Opinion Quarterly, 2008, Vol. 72, 5.


¨ Subjective Expectations in the Context of HIV/AIDS in Malawi (With Hans-Peter Kohler). Demographic Research, 2009, Vol 20, 31 .


¨ Probabilistic Polling and Voting in the 2008 Presidential Election: Evidence from the American Life Panel (With Charles F. Manski).

      Public Opinion Quarterly, 2010, Vol. 74, 3.


¨ Measuring Subjective Expectations in Developing Countries: A Critical Review and New Evidence (With David McKenzie and Xavier Gine).

     Journal of Development Economics, 2011, Vol. 94, 2.


¨ Criminal Prosecution and HIV-related Risky Behavior (With Neeraj Sood and Dana Goldman). Forthcoming at Journal of Law and Economics.


¨ Eliciting Probabilistic Expectations with Visual Aids in Developing Countries: How sensitive are answers to variations in elicitation design (With David McKenzie and Xavier Gine)

      Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, Vol 26, 3.


¨ Differential Survival in Europe and the US: Estimates Based on Subjective Probabilities of Survivals (With Susann Rohwedder)  - Online supplement

      Forthcoming at Demography


¨ Individuals’ Uncertainty about their Future Social Security Benefits and Portfolio Choice (With Susann Rohwedder) 

      Journal of Applied Econometrics, 2011, Vol. 26, 3.


¨ Marrying Up: the Role of Sex Ratio in Assortative Matching (With Ran Abramitzky and Luis Vasconcelos)

      Fortcoming at American Economic Journal: Applied Economics


¨ The Impact of HIV Testing on Subjective Expectations and Risky Behavior in Malawi (With Hans-Peter Kohler).

     Forthcoming at Demography



Working papers       



¨ HIV/AIDS-related Expectations and Risky Sexual Behavior in Malawi (With Hans-Peter Kohler)


¨ Stereotypes and Madrassas: Experimental Evidence from Pakistan (With Basit Zafar)


¨ Candidate Preferences and Expectations of Election Outcomes: Evidence from the American Life Panel (With Charles F. Manski)


¨ Changes in Spending and in Labor Supply in Response to a Social Security Benefit Cut: An Analysis based on Stated Choice Data  (With Susann Rohwedder) 


¨ Probabilistic Thinking and Early Social Security Claiming (With Michael Perry and Robert J. Willis). MRRC Working Paper WP 2006-219.


¨ Managing the Risk of Life (With Robert J. Willis) MRRC Working Paper  WP